Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.223894 0.258449 0.296363 0.341024 0.392167 0.448882 0.516524
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.169184 0.213961 0.267496 0.336114 0.421632 0.524606 0.657935
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.130649 0.179695 0.243134 0.330958 0.449145 0.602432 0.816097
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.103415 0.153801 0.223909 0.328127 0.478631 0.687555 0.999015
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.083954 0.134295 0.209255 0.328279 0.511709 0.782704 1.212281
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.070683 0.120995 0.200776 0.335410 0.555682 0.900217 1.477858
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.058480 0.106730 0.187912 0.332976 0.583966 0.997983 1.729218
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.050511 0.097853 0.182019 0.340593 0.629491 1.129896 2.056917
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.042352 0.086878 0.170319 0.335673 0.652060 1.226033 2.338366
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.036962 0.080001 0.164724 0.340716 0.693157 1.360532 2.708884
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.031071 0.070858 0.153015 0.331650 0.705477 1.443172 2.994456
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.027982 0.066977 0.151139 0.341996 0.757886 1.610216 3.469369
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.025382 0.063738 0.150221 0.354654 0.818208 1.804131 4.033137
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022174 0.058407 0.143726 0.353873 0.849490 1.942852 4.503408
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019348 0.053391 0.137010 0.351358 0.876482 2.076546 4.984018
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017026 0.049152 0.131349 0.350318 0.906754 2.222157 5.514361
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015160 0.045715 0.127027 0.351812 0.943434 2.388084 6.117831
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.013847 0.043529 0.125534 0.360358 0.999322 2.608149 6.885412
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012281 0.040248 0.120463 0.358368 1.027517 2.764413 7.518397
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011290 0.038484 0.119285 0.366975 1.085648 3.005032 8.403298
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.009981 0.035411 0.113728 0.361972 1.105253 3.148283 9.053863
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009140 0.033680 0.111856 0.367593 1.156280 3.383427 9.988583
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.008003 0.030663 0.105406 0.357965 1.160793 3.491316 10.586586